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New economic governance rules

Briefing 07-02-2024

On 26 April 2023, the European Commission published a package of three proposals to revise the EU's economic governance framework: a regulation to replace the current preventive arm of the stability and growth pact (SGP), an amending Council regulation on the corrective arm of the SGP, and an amending Council directive to strengthen the role of independent fiscal institutions. The main proposal on the preventive arm is to be adopted through the ordinary legislative procedure with the European Parliament ...

The long-running discussions on a new EU economic governance framework and a recent German court ruling have fuelled the debate on economic governance. This briefing explores the economic concepts that underlie the fiscal framework. The current EU fiscal framework relies on an economic model that assesses the cyclical condition of each country's economy. To pinpoint an economy's position in the business cycle at any given time, a 'potential output' model is used to estimate the highest level of production ...

After a series of unprecedented interest rate hikes on both sides of the Atlantic, inflation in the euro area and the United States is cooling down from a 40-year high. However, uncertainty about the inflation and growth outlook remains high, as the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve are considering their next moves. Five papers were prepared by the ECON Committee’s Monetary Expert Panel, making a comparative assessment of inflation dynamics and monetary policy stances in the two monetary ...

Inflation has surged and then declined in broadly similar ways in the euro area and the United States, because it has been driven by the impact of the pandemic and its aftermath. Yet, specific differences reflect how monetary and fiscal policies responded as well as the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The central banks face whole new challenges as they prepare to navigate the next phase now that inflation has rapidly declined, but also further along. This document was provided by the ...

The full study presents recommendations, drawing on several scenarios, for how the EU budget could be recast to enable it to be more agile and responsive in dealing with new and future challenges requiring EU-level expenditure or lending.

Alignment of monetary and fiscal policies has proven to be decisive for the euro area's ability to withstand successive crises over the years. Today, the European Central Bank (ECB) continues its fight against inflation by implementing a monetary policy tightening unprecedented in pace and scale. At the same time, after allowing for some deviations from regular budgetary rules with the activation of the general escape clause in 2020, the EU is set to reapply its fiscal rules fully from 2024. In addition ...

Monetary-fiscal interaction

Išsami analizė 21-09-2023

Achieving a balanced monetary-fiscal policy mix in the euro area is crucial to ensure that monetary policy is able to fulfil its primary price stability objective. This paper outlines, from an economic and legal perspective, the interaction between monetary and fiscal policy in light of the current monetary and fiscal stance and, in particular, the “quasi-fiscal” effects of some unconventional monetary policy measures. Since sustainable public finances are a prerequisite for a price-stability-oriented ...

The geopolitical and economic shocks, due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine, represent a structural shift for the European Union (EU) economy. The euro area needs to deal with an ongoing inflation process and the EU needs to radically transform its production model to avoid a lasting decline. An expansionary centralised fiscal capacity, grounded on the production of public goods, and a related common industrial policy are required to allow for this structural change. In the meantime ...

This study, commissioned by the European Parliament’s Policy Department for Citizens’ Rights and Constitutional Affairs at the request of the AFCO Committee, examines the fiscal responses of the EU to the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. It claims that the law & policy tools developed to address these crises have led to the establishment, and consolidation, of an EU fiscal capacity – contributing to overcoming the original imbalance of the EU’s Economic & Monetary Union. Nevertheless, the ...

Nadia Calvinho, First Vice President of the Government of Spain, Minister for Economic Affairs and Digital Transformation is participating in the ECON Committee in her capacity of President of the ECOFIN Council during the Spanish Presidency (July - December 2023). In accordance with the Treaty of the Union, “Member States shall regard their economic policies as a matter of common concern and shall coordinate them within the Council”. This document provides an overview of the Spanish Presidency priorities ...