The 2016 Elections in the United States: Effects on the EU-US Relationship
Despite (or because of) Donald Trump’s various campaign statements, it is hard to predict confidently what path his administration will take in a wide range of foreign-policy areas. It is however possible to identify key issues and challenges in EU-US relations during his presidency. This briefing provides an overview of issues where US policy may change sharply during the next four years and what this may mean for the EU. Less interventionism, less commitment to NATO and a retreat from trade liberalization could be central to Trump’s presidency. Transatlantic relations would be affected by US actions such as rapprochement with Russia and a softer line on the Ukraine conflict, alignment with Assad and Putin in Syria, extreme counterterrorism measures, abandoning the Iran nuclear deal, and unconditional support for Israel. Confrontation with China over trade and regional security, and reversal of environmental policies will also have repercussions for the EU. In order to mitigate all these risks, the EU must at least entrench existing cooperation with the US before trying to enhance it. It can The do so by reaffirming European unity and solving threats to its integration, by becoming a better security “producer” and by “thickening” interparliamentary exchanges.
Análise aprofundada
Autor externo
Nicolas BOUCHET (The German Marshall Fund of the United States, USA)
Sobre este documento
Tipo de publicação
Domínio de intervenção
Palavra-chave
- América
- assembleia
- assembleia bicamaral
- ATIVIDADE POLÍTICA
- chefe de Estado
- comércio internacional
- construção europeia
- cooperação UE-NATO
- Estados Unidos
- GEOGRAFIA
- geografia económica
- geografia política
- INTERCÂMBIOS ECONÓMICOS E COMERCIAIS
- NATO
- ORGANIZAÇÕES INTERNACIONAIS
- organizações mundiais
- partido político
- partido republicano
- poder executivo e administração pública
- política externa
- política governamental
- política internacional
- populismo
- quadro político
- relações comerciais
- relações da União Europeia
- relações económicas
- RELAÇÕES INTERNACIONAIS
- relações interparlamentares
- relações transatlânticas
- segurança internacional
- segurança internacional
- terrorismo
- UNIÃO EUROPEIA
- vida política e segurança pública