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The role (and accountability) of the President of the Eurogroup

28-04-2021

This note provides an overview of the role of the President of the Eurogroup, the procedures for his/her appointment, as well as proposals on a “full time position” as part of the wider debate on deepening the Economic and Monetary Union. The note also briefly addresses the mandate and working methods of the Eurogroup. In addition, this note refers to the debate around the transparency of Eurogroup proceedings. It is updated regularly.

This note provides an overview of the role of the President of the Eurogroup, the procedures for his/her appointment, as well as proposals on a “full time position” as part of the wider debate on deepening the Economic and Monetary Union. The note also briefly addresses the mandate and working methods of the Eurogroup. In addition, this note refers to the debate around the transparency of Eurogroup proceedings. It is updated regularly.

The Euro Area Fiscal Stance

21-04-2021

The concept of “Euro area fiscal stance” is used by European and international institutions, as well as academics, to measure the discretionary fiscal effort at the level of euro area as a whole. From 2012 to 2018, the Commission has referred to the euro area fiscal stance in its “Opinions on Draft Budgetary Plans” and has expressed its position on the appropriate fiscal stance in its proposals for the Council recommendation on the economic policies of the euro area. The concept became more prominent ...

The concept of “Euro area fiscal stance” is used by European and international institutions, as well as academics, to measure the discretionary fiscal effort at the level of euro area as a whole. From 2012 to 2018, the Commission has referred to the euro area fiscal stance in its “Opinions on Draft Budgetary Plans” and has expressed its position on the appropriate fiscal stance in its proposals for the Council recommendation on the economic policies of the euro area. The concept became more prominent with the publication of the Commission Communication on “Towards a Positive Fiscal Stance” of November 2016. Since 2019, however, the Commission has not explicitly proposed an appropriate euro area fiscal stance for the upcoming year. The euro area fiscal stance is also the subject of a report and of a recommendation by the European Fiscal Board. This note (which is regularly updated) provides an overview of the concept and of the latest developments.

Update on Wirecard case: public hearing

18-03-2021

This paper updates and summarises earlier briefings on the Wirecard case, ahead of a public hearing on 23 March organised by the JURI and ECON Committees of the European Parliament. It also describes the most recent developments on the basis of information available in the public domain.

This paper updates and summarises earlier briefings on the Wirecard case, ahead of a public hearing on 23 March organised by the JURI and ECON Committees of the European Parliament. It also describes the most recent developments on the basis of information available in the public domain.

Thematic digest: When and how to unwind COVID-support measures to the banking system

18-03-2021

This document presents the summaries of four external papers commissioned by EGOV in November 2020 upon request of the Economic and Monetary Committee (ECON). Papers were delivered, analysed and published in March 2021. ECON has requested its Banking Panel to address the question of when and how to unwind COVID-support measures to the banking system.

This document presents the summaries of four external papers commissioned by EGOV in November 2020 upon request of the Economic and Monetary Committee (ECON). Papers were delivered, analysed and published in March 2021. ECON has requested its Banking Panel to address the question of when and how to unwind COVID-support measures to the banking system.

When and how to unwind COVID-support measures to the banking system? The quest for safe landing place

17-03-2021

Bank loans increased considerably in 2020, due to an unprecedented wave of extraordinary measures aimed at supporting bank borrowers. Where constraints posed by public-sector deficits were tighter, the response was more focused on contingent/fiscally-neutral measures (e.g. public guarantees and moratoria), which might lead to greater unbalances in the future. Post-Covid recovery can be expected to be selective in nature, both across industries and within. Accordingly, emergency measures cannot simply ...

Bank loans increased considerably in 2020, due to an unprecedented wave of extraordinary measures aimed at supporting bank borrowers. Where constraints posed by public-sector deficits were tighter, the response was more focused on contingent/fiscally-neutral measures (e.g. public guarantees and moratoria), which might lead to greater unbalances in the future. Post-Covid recovery can be expected to be selective in nature, both across industries and within. Accordingly, emergency measures cannot simply be dismantled, but rather must be replaced by interventions aimed at smoothing the transition towards a different economic environment.

Външен автор

A. Resti

Non-performing Loans - New risks and policies? NPL resolution after COVID-19

15-03-2021

This paper discusses policy implications of a potential surge in NPLs due to COVID-19. The study provides an empirical assessment of potential scenarios and draws lessons from previous crises for effective NPL treatment. The paper highlights the importance of early and realistic assessment of loan losses to avoid adverse incentives for banks. Secondary loan markets would help in this process and further facilitate bank resolution as laid down in the BRRD, which should be uphold even in extreme scenarios ...

This paper discusses policy implications of a potential surge in NPLs due to COVID-19. The study provides an empirical assessment of potential scenarios and draws lessons from previous crises for effective NPL treatment. The paper highlights the importance of early and realistic assessment of loan losses to avoid adverse incentives for banks. Secondary loan markets would help in this process and further facilitate bank resolution as laid down in the BRRD, which should be uphold even in extreme scenarios.

Външен автор

J. Kasinger, J.P. Krahnen, S. Ongena, L. Pelizzon, M. Schmeling, M. Wahrenburg

Non-performing Loans - New risks and policies? NPL resolution after COVID-19

15-03-2021

The COVID-19 crisis is a significant and exogenous shock to the EU corporate sector, with implications for the operations and funding of many businesses. We compare key indicators for the global financial crisis (GFC) and the current situation, and assess implications for the policy response. We find that while many policy actions taken in response to the GFC remain valid, the nature of COVID-19 suggests a more tailored response is appropriate, with support focused on sectors most directly affected ...

The COVID-19 crisis is a significant and exogenous shock to the EU corporate sector, with implications for the operations and funding of many businesses. We compare key indicators for the global financial crisis (GFC) and the current situation, and assess implications for the policy response. We find that while many policy actions taken in response to the GFC remain valid, the nature of COVID-19 suggests a more tailored response is appropriate, with support focused on sectors most directly affected and corporates whose continuation value exceeds their liquidation value.

Външен автор

J. Haynes, P.Hope, H. Talbot

Non-performing Loans - New risks and policies? NPL resolution after COVID-19

12-03-2021

This paper reviews the main differences between the prospects for NPL build-up and resolution between the current pandemic and the financial crisis of 2008-2009. To facilitate NPL reduction following the pandemic, the ECB should actively counter the revealed tendency of banks with low profitability to implement relatively low loan loss provisions.

This paper reviews the main differences between the prospects for NPL build-up and resolution between the current pandemic and the financial crisis of 2008-2009. To facilitate NPL reduction following the pandemic, the ECB should actively counter the revealed tendency of banks with low profitability to implement relatively low loan loss provisions.

Външен автор

A. C. Bertay, H. Huizinga

When and how to unwind COVID-support measures to the banking system?

12-03-2021

This in-depth analysis proposes ways to retract from supervisory COVID-19 support measures without perils for financial stability. It simulates the likely impact of the corona crisis on euro area banks’ capital and predicts a significant capital shortfall. We recommend to end accounting practices that conceal loan losses and sustain capital relief measures. Our in-depth analysis also proposes how to address the impending capital shortfall in resolution/liquidation and a supranational recapitalisation ...

This in-depth analysis proposes ways to retract from supervisory COVID-19 support measures without perils for financial stability. It simulates the likely impact of the corona crisis on euro area banks’ capital and predicts a significant capital shortfall. We recommend to end accounting practices that conceal loan losses and sustain capital relief measures. Our in-depth analysis also proposes how to address the impending capital shortfall in resolution/liquidation and a supranational recapitalisation.

Външен автор

T. Tröger, R. Haselmann

Thinking Beyond the Pandemic: Monetary Policy Challenges in the Medium- to Long-Term

12-03-2021

The economic characteristics of the COVID-19 crisis differ from those of previous crises. It is a combination of demand- and supply-side constraints which led to the formation of a monetary overhang that will be unfrozen once the pandemic ends. Monetary policy must take this effect into consideration, along with other pro-inflationary factors, in the post-pandemic era. It must also think in advance about how to avoid a policy trap coming from fiscal dominance. This paper was provided by the Policy ...

The economic characteristics of the COVID-19 crisis differ from those of previous crises. It is a combination of demand- and supply-side constraints which led to the formation of a monetary overhang that will be unfrozen once the pandemic ends. Monetary policy must take this effect into consideration, along with other pro-inflationary factors, in the post-pandemic era. It must also think in advance about how to avoid a policy trap coming from fiscal dominance. This paper was provided by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies at the request of the committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the Monetary Dialogue with the ECB President on 18 March 2021.

Външен автор

Marek DABROWSKI

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