Suchen

Ihre Ergebnisse

Anzeige: 10 von 137 Ergebnissen

Now is the time for quantitative tightening

Eingehende Analyse 16-03-2023

Even if QT is as inefficient as QE at affecting inflation, now is the time to cut the size of central banks’ balance sheets. The stabilising effects of large balance sheets are eroded as the financial markets adapt to excess reserves. If QT proves to be financially destabilising, it can be temporarily interrupted, possibly even reversed. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the ...

Inflation has always had a strong global component, driven mostly by volatile energy prices. However, the unprecedented levels of inflation reached now cannot in all cases be explained by unprecedented energy prices – except for the euro area where gas prices have had a special impact. The international spill-over effects of national monetary policy are of uncertain sign. US tightening has a negative impact abroad, especially in emerging economies because of the dominant role of the US dollar in ...

After the financial crisis, the supervisory framework of the euro area banking sector has been seriously scaled up. This briefing argues, however, that there still is a watchdog role for journalists, as banking supervisors cannot single out banks that take excessive risks or fall short of other obligations. Based on a survey, we find that more than half of the significant banks in the euro area organise press conferences, which could provide a suitable forum for dedicated journalist to ask challenging ...

On 26 July 2012, then ECB President Mario Draghi gave the so-called “whatever it takes” speech, today widely considered as the turnaround point in the European sovereign debt crisis. Shortly after, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced the details of its outright monetary transactions programme (OMT) tool. The speech, together with the OMT announcement, were enough to remove re-denomination risk from sovereign bond markets. OMT was never actually used. 10 years after, in a context of record-high ...

In den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten wurden als Reaktion auf verschiedene politische und wirtschaftliche Entwicklungen neue Finanzierungsmechanismen für die öffentlichen Finanzen der EU eingeführt. Dies hat dazu geführt, dass die „Galaxie“ der Finanzierungsinstrumente komplexer geworden ist. Dabei werden die im AEUV verankerten Grundsätze der Haushaltsaufstellung, insbesondere Einheit und Universalität, nicht immer vollständig eingehalten.

This paper discusses theory and evidence on inflation expectations. While near-term measures of expected inflation in the euro area have increased, forecasters and financial markets expect inflation to decline back to the ECB’s target by later this year. The paper provides some sceptical arguments in relation to the prominence given to measure of inflation expectations in monetary policy circles. This paper was provided by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies ...

Communication is not just talking

Eingehende Analyse 31-01-2022

Central bank communication has been developed over the last decades. Much has been learned over time, revealing both the complexity and usefulness of communication. This is an area where there is room for significant improvements. Most of the possible improvements question the way the ECB operates. Only seeking to better talk will not be enough to meet this important challenge. This paper was provided by the Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies at the request ...

Most economic decisions of economic agents are based upon expectations of inflation. Inflation expectations play an important role for the determination of inflation and the transmission of monetary policy. They are not observable and are inferred from alternative indicators. We show that all these measures generally fail to predict inflation. We also assess their anchoring and show that long-term expectations are better anchored to the inflation target than inflation expectations at shorter horizons ...

The pricing of many financial instruments and contracts depends on the accuracy and integrity of (financial) benchmarks, i.e. indices, by reference to which the amounts payable under such financial instruments or contracts, or the value of certain financial instruments, are determined. The anticipated discontinuation of such a benchmark (LIBOR) after the end of 2021 has created fears that it could lead to disruption in the internal market, given that the Benchmarks Regulation ((EU) 2016/1011) does ...

We present a review of the channels through which the US fiscal and monetary post-pandemic policies may affect the euro area. US spillovers will likely be relevant and worth considering while setting the policy stance in the euro area, at a crossroad between economic global recovery and global overheating. A key role is going to be played by global financial markets, their appetite for open-ended stimulative policies and fears of hard disinflation scenarios affecting central banks' ability to keep ...