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This note provides an overview of the implementation of the 2022 recommendation on the economic policies of the euro area proposed by the Commission and agreed by the Council. It makes use of public information and proxies such as on how the Eurogroup has integrated euro area recommendations’ concerns in their “thematic discussions” and work programmes. This note will be updated in light of relevant developments.

This note looks at the 2023 recommendation on the economic policies of the euro area proposed by the Commission and agreed by the Council. The note provides a review of the euro area recommendations from an institutional perspective and includes broad comparisons to earlier recommendations, in order to illustrate how policy concerns have evolved over time. This note is an update on a previous version and will be updated in light of relevant developments.

This briefing has been prepared for the public hearing with the Chair of the ECB Supervisory Board, Andrea Enria, in ECON on 21 March 2023, covering: • A European perspective on recent US bank failures, in particular Silicon Valley Bank • SREP results for 2022 • Supervisory Banking Statistics • EBF-commissioned study on the cost of regulation for EU banks • EBA 2023 EU-wide stress test scenario • ECB sanction for failing to report cyber incident within deadline • Enhanced Code of Conduct ...

This note is prepared in view of a regular public hearing with the Chair of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), Christine Lagarde, which will take place on 20 March 2023. The briefing (i) provides a European per-spective on recent US bank failures; (ii) provides summary of the risk outlook and the picking up of corporate insolvencies; (iii) describes the risks building up in housing markets; (iv) summarises the ongoing continuing work on the macroprudential policy toolkit for cyber resilience ...

Even if QT is as inefficient as QE at affecting inflation, now is the time to cut the size of central banks’ balance sheets. The stabilising effects of large balance sheets are eroded as the financial markets adapt to excess reserves. If QT proves to be financially destabilising, it can be temporarily interrupted, possibly even reversed. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) ahead of the ...

The ECB is now planning to run down its vast bond holdings acquired under the asset purchase programme ----- a ‘‘quantitative tightening’’. However, the ECB is not contemplating selling any bonds, only not reinvesting part of what is coming due. Under this approach, the continuing expansionary effect of keeping vast holdings remains large and is likely to complicate the fight against inflation. The ECB currently has two, fungible, policy instruments (policy rates and balance sheet operations), which ...

In March 2023, the European Central Bank (ECB) launched its quantitative tightening (QT) policy, to unwind its portfolio of assets that resulted from its quantitative easing (QE) policy of the last decade. This paper discusses the main arguments in favour of QT in the euro area and their validity, the possible risks associated with this policy, and how the ECB should implement QT to minimise these risks. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request ...

Confronted with a historic inflation surge, the ECB steps on the brake(s). While interest rate hikes are its primary tool, unconventional tools are also adjusted to strengthen the brake intensity. Quantitative tightening will reduce the stock of bonds in a slow process. The change from a scarce to an abundant reserve system will prevail. In contrast to previous monetary tightening cycles, in an abundant reserve system huge interest expenses result in central bank losses and fiscal costs for the coming ...

The Eurosystem is now reducing its bond holdings. Provided this is carried out in a measured way, it should not have a big impact on financial conditions or cause financial instability. The reduction is the correct policy because of legal problems with the Eurosystem owning so many sovereign bonds and because it provides space to implement the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) effectively. On the costs of operating a large balance sheet, the ECB should re-introduce its tiering system for compensation ...

This study documents the poor track record of implementation of the European Semester country-specific recommendations and discusses the novelties the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) could bring to EU economic governance. While it is too early to evaluate the success of the RRF, this study draws out lessons for the future of the EU economic governance framework from certain aspects of the RRF design and the European Commission’s evaluation of the national recovery and resilience plans. This ...