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Germany's National Recovery and Resilience Plan: Latest state of play
Germany was originally entitled to a maximum financial contribution of €25.6 billion in grants from the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF), the unprecedented EU response to the crisis triggered by the coronavirus pandemic. The national recovery and resilience plan (NRRP) for Germany does not include requests for loans. Following the latest amendment of the German NRRP in July 2024, which added a REPowerEU chapter, the EU resources devoted to the plan reached €30.3 billion. This amount corresponds ...
Economic Dialogue with the European Commission on the launch of the 2025 European Semester cycle
Executive Vice-President Mînzatu and Commissioner Dombrovskis have been invited to an Economic Dialogue on the launch of the 2025 European Semester for economic policy coordination, in line with the relevant EU law. This briefing note covers the main elements of the 2025 European Semester Package proposed by the Commission, notably the Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure, the Joint Employment Report, the Euro Area policy recommendations and on-going work to strengthen the global competitiveness of ...
Implementation of the reformed Stability and Growth Pact
The autumn 2024 (and winter 2025) fiscal surveillance has been marked by the first implementation cycle of the reformed EU economic governance framework. It has included the assessments and the adoption of the first set of national medium-term fiscal-structural plans (see Section 3 and Annex 1 and 2 of this briefing), the assessments of the 2025 Draft Budgetary Plans of euro area Member States (see Section 4), and Council recommendations to bring an end to their excessive deficit situations and ...
Debt Sustainability Analysis Methodology in the EU's New Economic Governance Framework: An assessment
This paper discusses issues with using a DSA framework as a fiscal rule anchor. It introduces key concepts to guide the reader's understanding and highlights concerns about numerous assumptions that are inevitable in DSA calculation. The paper highlights structural issues, including asymmetry in how megatrends of aging, environmental change and a changing security and defence needs are incorporated into the framework.
Euro area monetary policy: Quarterly overview, December 2024
This briefing paper was prepared ahead of the Monetary Dialogue between the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) and the European Central Bank (ECB) President. It provides a summary of key monetary policy developments and decisions taken by the ECB’s Governing Council.
Economic Outlook Quarterly: A story of contrasts
The current economic context is a story of contrasts: the labour market continues to exceed expectations, with record employment, while inflation is nearing the 2 % target; meanwhile, subdued growth momentum is fuelling concern over the sustainability of high public debt. Despite extremely challenging circumstances, the EU economy achieved an anticipated soft landing, not least thanks to fiscal support measures at national and EU level. However, factors weighing on economic growth, estimated at 1.5 ...
Public hearing with Dominique Laboureix, Chair of the Single Resolution Board
This briefing has been prepared for the public hearing with the Chair of the Single Resolution Board (SRB), Dominique Laboureix on 4 December 2024.
2024 IMF Annual Meetings: main developments and outcomes
The Annual Meetings of the World Bank Group (WBG) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) convene finance ministers and central bank governors to participate in the highest-level decision-making bodies of the two institutions, as well as in various committees and groups that drive the agenda on issues related to the international monetary system and development policy. The 2024 Annual Meetings took place in Washington, D.C. from 21 to 26 October 2024. This paper summarises the main developments and ...
Assessing the Debt Sustainability Analysis Methodology in the EU’s New Economic Governance Framework
This paper argues that the debt sustainability methodology in the EU new economic governance framework, while analytically sound, faces major implementation challenges. Primary among these is the reliance on a non-observable variable (the volatility of future debt-to-GDP ratios) that must be estimated based on ad hoc procedures that may affect significantly the required decline in the debt ratio after the end of the adjustment period and, hence, the primary surplus that a Member State needs to achieve ...
The new economic governance framework: implications for monetary policy
This paper studies the implications for the European Central Bank (ECB) of the new EU fiscal framework, focusing on five aspects where monetary and fiscal policies intersect: (1) fiscal dominance over monetary policy; (2) fiscal drag created by the new framework; (3) moral hazard created by very low interest rates; (4) the effectiveness of the ECB’s Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI), and (5) the impact of the new framework on green public investment. This document was provided by the Economic ...