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This study discusses recent and current conditions relating to financial stability in the euro area, develops, in particular, on the impact of the current ‘inflation crisis’ on financial stability vulnerabilities, and addresses two related priorities for the Single Resolution Board (SRB).

This paper points to new multifaceted and often interconnected sources of risks (including high-impact tail risks) and the challenges posed to supervisory actions. It also makes the important case that traditional risk management tools might face limitations in the current situation. We discuss both geopolitical and related risks as well as other risks in the context of rising interest rates and a volatile macroeconomic environment. The challenge for banks will be to be prepared for such extreme ...

This paper considers initiatives funded by the RRF to support SMEs in the digital transition. It concludes that while there are many areas of good practice, risks remain due to the lack of outcome-based targets, the complexity of some schemes and relatively low levels of funding in relation to the ambition in some cases. Introducing targets based on (preferably harmonised) skills frameworks and digital maturity assessments could help establish the value add of initiatives to support SMEs.

This note is prepared in view of a public hearing with the Chair of the ECB Supervisory Board, Andrea Enria, scheduled for 1 December 2022.

The Banking Union will likely face several risks in the near future, ranging from geopolitical risks to shadow banking risks and the phasing out of Covid-19 support. Such risks might also affect the Single Resolution Board and its priorities. This paper discusses the key short-term risks and analyses how the SRB can be impacted regarding resolution planning, the failing or likely to fail determination, public interest assessment and resolution action.

While greater inflation may have led to some positive “first-round” effects for banks, several negative “second-round” impacts may occur, including: i) an increase in credit risk, affecting both families and companies, especially “heavy energy users”; ii) a drop in the value of fixed-rate assets held by lenders, including sovereign bonds; iii) liquidity pressures due to the ECB’s recent decision to increase the cost of its outstanding 3-year facilities and to greater competition for retail deposits ...

This note provides an overview of the main features and recent developments regarding the advisory European Fiscal Board. It also includes some reflections on a stronger role of the EU level fiscal board in the light of economic governance reforms orientations proposed by the Commission in November 2022.

This note is prepared in view of a public hearing with the Chair of the Single Resolution Board (SRB), Elke König, scheduled for 30 November 2022.

Geopolitical risk will increasingly confront EU banks and their supervisors in the coming years. This paper assesses four specific manifestations of this type of risk and the related banking vulnerabilities and proposes new or modified priorities for European Central Bank banking supervision.

This document presents selected indicators on public finance for the Euro Area Member States and the Euro Area as a whole. For each indicator, it provides a short explanation and the data sources. The final section presents a short overview of the main indicators used by the European and other international institutions to assess debt sustainability.